short1–3 months
SPLIT JURY
Composite-0.01
5 bullish · 1 neutral · 2 bearish
Uncertainty ±0.66 · 8 active
CASH ON TRIAL · VIDEO CASE FILE
Every time crude rose 70%+ in a year since 1946 — 11 shocks. A recession followed only 5 of them. A coin flip, not a death sentence. Full trial: https://youtu.be/JyL_-ryaNvY Educational only — not financial advice. #oil #recession #investing
LIVE COMPANION · CHECKED SEP 12, 8:37 AM PDT
The video is the argument. This live panel is today’s independent rules-based evidence, so it may differ from the conditions discussed when the episode was published.
5 bullish · 1 neutral · 2 bearish
Uncertainty ±0.66 · 8 active
7 bullish · 3 neutral · 2 bearish
Uncertainty ±0.56 · 12 active
1 bullish · 2 neutral · 0 bearish
Uncertainty ±0.18 · 3 active
The bar this evidence must beat: stocks were higher 12 months later in roughly 64% of all months since 1871. A bullish verdict is not a promise.